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Posted by jerrympls on July 28, 2005, at 20:41:28
In reply to That was well writtain. » med_empowered, posted by linkadge on July 28, 2005, at 20:28:18
> That post was extremely well writtain. That summs up my stance.
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> I am not against the idea of an "antidepressant". We need to find a middle road. When people start to backlash against them, they often make comments that are somewhat of an exageration. But when doctors try to defend against such comments they tend to build the drugs up into something they're not. The truth is somewhere in between, where exactly is a mystery.
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> Linkadge
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I do agree as well. The idea that serotonin is the "magical" cure-all for depression is narrow thinking and it's absurd that doctors and researchers have become complacent with this theory. There are SO many more neurotransmitters from acetylcholine to nicotinic to opioid - not to mention other systems within the brain - i.e.: the HPA balance, the role of cortisol, testosterone and estrogen - and how these other systems tie in with each other - they all for a symbiant circle.Psychiatry is basically an artform - and most of the time it's just a doctor taking a stab in the dark.
If we truely lived in a 'Prozac Nation' - wouldn't we all be doing just great? I think it's also important to point out that just 5-10 years ago psychiatrists & drug companies were saying medication helps 80-90% of depression sufferers - and now they can barely support evidence that indicates only 70% are helped - if even that much.
THey've been stabbing in the dark for too long - it's time for them to try and find a light socket and screw in a lightbulb.
Jerry
Posted by Iansf on July 28, 2005, at 23:30:40
In reply to Re: That was well writtain., posted by jerrympls on July 28, 2005, at 20:41:28
Everyone I know with depression who has tried antidepressants has found at least one of them effective. Everyone. And that's after they failed to find relief with non-medicinal treatments. There are clearly people who have not benefited, or at least not benefited from the meds they tried, but in my experience only a minority of people suffering from depression do not improve on meds. The primary issue for most people is side effects, not effectiveness of the drugs themselves. The situation appears to be somewhat different for anxiety, social phobia, schizophrenia, ocd, etc. But it's my impression that almost everyone with depression can find at least one effective drug. The question is, can they tolerate it?
Posted by MM on July 29, 2005, at 2:23:22
In reply to Re: That was well writtain., posted by Iansf on July 28, 2005, at 23:30:40
I hate to be a naysayer because if SSRI's/antidepressants help people, I think that's a wonderful thing. The SSRI's were just awful for me though and I took them when I was a teenager before all the warnings and I just think it was a big mistake for me and set me back.
MM
Posted by linkadge on July 29, 2005, at 6:46:05
In reply to Re: That was well writtain., posted by Iansf on July 28, 2005, at 23:30:40
"The primary issue for most people is side effects, not effectiveness of the drugs themselves."
I beg to differ, but the drugs are ineffective for a larger portion of people than is commonly recognized. Poop-out is not uncommon. There was only a small portion of time in my life that I could attest to getting true relief from them.
I have about 5 good friends that I know of who are on AD's, and all of them say they pooped out, and that they are more or less back to feeling like trash. All of whom are on ever increasing doses, and ever more complicated coctails.
I wish I could give them a better report, but its not all that conclusive in my experience.
Linkadge
Posted by SLS on July 29, 2005, at 8:09:21
In reply to Antidepressants, posted by med_empowered on July 28, 2005, at 18:00:38
> There's no need to ditch the antidepressants completely, but it would be nice to explore new drugs, new theories, and new understanding of depression and emotional life in general.
This is PRECISELY what has been going on in neuroscience and psychiarty since I first stuck my nose in medical journals in 1983. I doubt there is much that has been overlooked, despite how much there is yet to be discovered. I can understand how people whom are not very familiar with this basic and clinical research would view the state of the art as being impotent. Data comes in quickly. Unfortunately, understanding does not.
I would just like to add my usual caution that people on Psycho-Babble whom have demonstrated treatment resistence not generalize their experiences to the general population and the majority of those being treated.
It might be time to use different paradigms for the testing of humans for the efficacy of antidepressants. Placebo controls seem to confound the interpretations of results, leaving many investigations meaningless. This is an ongoing debate, and the key fact being considered is that the rate of placebo effect is too high, despite randomization. Many researchers - Fredrick Quitkin being perhaps the most prominent - have been looking very closely at the nature of the placebo response and how it affects the interpretation of clinical trials of antidepressants.
- Scott
Posted by med_empowered on July 29, 2005, at 16:23:58
In reply to Re: Antidepressants, posted by SLS on July 29, 2005, at 8:09:21
Here's the thing: if the argument is that depression is a medical condition that is best treated medically, we *need* a placebo control--this is, afterall, how we evaluate all other medical treatments (including other psychotropics, such as neuroleptics or anxiolytics). The FDA recognizes the importance of the placebo effect--thus, all ADs have to prove more effective than placebo in at least 2 large scale, randomized trials. It may well be that the nature of depression makes it more responsive to placebo. Then again...many depressive episodes are self-limiting, so if one left a patient alone for 6-12 months the odds of that individual recovering from depression w/o any sort of intervention are pretty good, too. Instead of questioning placebo--which is a necessary control for medical research-- I think we need to question our current treatments and what seems to be the prevailing assumption that depression is best treated with antidepressants. Given the billions upon billions of dollars spent by individuals, insurance companies, and various government health agencies on antidepressants and other mental health treatments, I think that if anything we should hold these treatments--which, though sometimes helpful often are expensive and full of side-effects-- to a higher standard than the one to which they are now held, not a lower one. Some researchers argue (and I agree) that a better control than simple "placebo" would be so-called "active placebo". Basically,, an "active placebo" would produce minor side effects--drowsiness, for instance-- that are commonly associated with psychotropic treatment. By adding a few well-known side effects, one could tell even better the precise difference in efficacy between the control arm and the treatment arm...in other words, does Prozac help people because of some action on the brain, or do Prozac's side effects make the user think they're getting "strong medicine" and thus heal them primarily through an (active) placebo effect?
Posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 3:19:45
In reply to We need placebo, posted by med_empowered on July 29, 2005, at 16:23:58
Hi Med,
Active placebos are interesting. The problem is: how can you be sure that the active placebo isn't an antidepressant itself?!
~Ed
Posted by med_empowered on July 30, 2005, at 7:16:05
In reply to Re: We need placebo » med_empowered, posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 3:19:45
hey! I was reading the other day that alot of our psychiatric drugs (particularly the old-school neuroleptics and the antidepressants) were derived from "first-generation" antihistamines; Prozac from Benadryl, Thorazine from (I believe) chlortri... (I forget the rest of the name). Anyway, lo and behold, some of these parent compounds can be pretty potent psychotropics in and of themselves.
Posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 10:19:03
In reply to We need placebo, posted by med_empowered on July 29, 2005, at 16:23:58
Hi.
> Here's the thing: if the argument is that depression is a medical condition that is best treated medically, we *need* a placebo control-
Not unless the placebo effect is real and/or part of the natural course of the illness in those "responding" individuals. A 30-35% response rate to placebo makes clinical trials almost meaningless. I have often thought that the high rate of placebo response was the result of poor inclusion/exclusion criteria. When one includes only a population of depressives rated as severe, the placebo response approaches zero while the response rate remains at 65-70%.
Just a spur of the moment idea: It might make sense to use a placebo-placebo control in addition to the active group, and extend studies for 4 months rather than 6 weeks. A high percentage of placebo responders tend to respond very early in a trial and relapse after 10 weeks. I would separate out anyone whom has continued to be a placebo responder by 10 weeks. I would then crossover the placebo non-responders to active compound and continue them for another 6 weeks. It would be preferable to use an active placebo, or those crossing over will be again subject to a placebo effect when the investigational compound is introduced and its side effects recognized. Now one may more easily compare the rate of response to non-response.
The desirability of using placebos in trials of antidepressants is more complex than this. Since there is much more to this issue than I am capable of presenting right now, I might suggest you start researching the matter using an Internet search engine using keyword phrases like:
- placebo Quitkin
- placebo antidepressants meaningless> -this is, afterall, how we evaluate all other medical treatments (including other psychotropics, such as neuroleptics or anxiolytics).
I am not knowledgable enough to be able to speak to all other medical interventions. Certainly, ethical considerations must prevent the use of a placebo in some circumstances.
> The FDA recognizes the importance of the placebo effect--
Some people tend to propel the FDA to a status of infallability at times and bash the FDA at others. I would like to leave the FDA out of this debate and include only the research and medical commentary itself.
> Then again...many depressive episodes are self-limiting, so if one left a patient alone for 6-12 months the odds of that individual recovering from depression w/o any sort of intervention are pretty good, too.
One might consider withdrawal of the active compound for two weeks after a response, and then rechallenge if a relapse ensues. Stuff like this has been done before.
> Instead of questioning placebo--which is a necessary control for medical research--
I am not convinced that placebo controls are necessary for medical research. Like I said, there is much debate surrounding this issue.
These drugs. Perhaps our studies of these drugs do not.
- Scott
Posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 12:49:48
In reply to Re: We need placebo, posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 10:19:03
Hi Scott,
>It would be preferable to use an active placebo.....
.....but what if the active drug produced a higher incidence of side effects than the active placebo. Due to the high incidence of side effects, people given the active drug may view it as being a 'powerful' drug, this may increase the placebo effect, thus suggesting that an (ineffective) drug was more effective than placebo.
>One might consider withdrawal of the active compound for two weeks after a response, and then rechallenge if a relapse ensues.
What about withdrawal symptoms?
Kind regards
~Ed
Posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 16:24:39
In reply to Re: We need placebo » SLS, posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 12:49:48
Hi Ed.
> >It would be preferable to use an active placebo.....
>
> .....but what if the active drug produced a higher incidence of side effects than the active placebo.That is always a difficulty whenever crossover investigations are performed. When I participated in this type of study with inactive placebo, I just figured they had simply increased the dosage on me.
> Due to the high incidence of side effects, people given the active drug may view it as being a 'powerful' drug,
They would not be aware of the crossover design of the study, only that they may or may not receive placebo.
> this may increase the placebo effect,
But placebo responders will have been removed from this phase of the study by the end of 10 weeks.
Now you are beginning to understand the power of the placebo effect when it comes to depression. It is a difficulty that must be addressed in order to evaluate the true efficacy of antidepressant medication.
> > One might consider withdrawal of the active compound for two weeks after a response, and then rechallenge if a relapse ensues.
> What about withdrawal symptoms?
This sort of procedure has been carried out in the past. Perhaps a taper could be performed over the course of two weeks rather than an abrupt continuation.
- Scott
Posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 16:47:10
In reply to Re: We need placebo » ed_uk, posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 16:24:39
Hi Scott,
>But placebo responders will have been removed from this phase of the study by the end of 10 weeks.
I don't think people are either placebo responders or non-responders though. People may respond to one placebo but not another, depending on how effective them deem the treatment to be. For example, someone might respond to sham ECT but not a placebo tablet. People might get a 'better' placebo effect from a drug which cause more side effects, because they assume that it's more 'powerful' than a drug which causes milder side effects.
>This sort of procedure has been carried out in the past. Perhaps a taper could be performed over the course of two weeks rather than an abrupt continuation.
I agree. A taper would be very important.
Kind regards
~ed
Posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 20:50:13
In reply to Re: We need placebo » SLS, posted by ed_uk on July 30, 2005, at 16:47:10
My idea was a quickie. It isn't something I've invested more than a few minutes thinking about. However, I think the way that we approach evaluating the efficacy of antidepressants must be viewed in the context of the high rate of placebo response. Perhaps our statistical methods can be refined to take the high placebo response into account. Perhaps it is as simple as adjusting our perspective and expectations. That an antidepressant is "only" 45% (30% placebo versus 75% active) better than placebo is a large number within the context of clinical trials of depression. Even if the percentage of active compound responders was as low as 60%, this would still represent a treatment superiority of 200% over placebo.
I would still want to look to do studies in which the inclusion criteria included only the more chronic and severe cases of depression. I bet the placebo response would be closer to 5-10%. What would happen if we included only those severe cases where cortisol levels were abnormal?
What are we treating? If 30% of those included in the study are primarily psychologically depressed rather than biologically, but still qualify under DMS IV criteria for major depressive disorder, how would we want to interpret a placebo response of 30%?
- Scott
Posted by ed_uk on July 31, 2005, at 6:56:17
In reply to Re: We need placebo » ed_uk, posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 20:50:13
Hi Scott,
>However, I think the way that we approach evaluating the efficacy of antidepressants must be viewed in the context of the high rate of placebo response.
I agree. The placebo response is very high and seems to be rising - I've had the impression that new studies seem to have higher placebo responses than older ones. I think you're right that it's related to the selection criteria..... and perhaps due to impressive nature of being in a study of a new drug.
>I would still want to look to do studies in which the inclusion criteria included only the more chronic and severe cases of depression.
I agree. Also, drugs with a novel mechanism of action ought to be tested on patients who are resistant to a few current therapies eg. at least one SSRI, one TCA and Effexor.
>What would happen if we included only those severe cases where cortisol levels were abnormal?
Probably a poor placebo response and a good response to something like nortriptyline.
>If 30% of those included in the study are primarily psychologically depressed rather than biologically, but still qualify under DMS IV criteria for major depressive disorder, how would we want to interpret a placebo response of 30%?
It's always difficult to do clinical trials of drugs for MDD due to the relatively heterogeneous group of patients included - despite the selection criteria (which exclude many patients who'd be treated with ADs in practice).
Also, people with definite biological abnormalities can respond to placebo eg. post-operative pain could be relieved by a saline injection (which was supposed to be morphine).
Kind regards
~Ed
Posted by SLS on July 31, 2005, at 7:44:25
In reply to Re: We need placebo » SLS, posted by ed_uk on July 31, 2005, at 6:56:17
Another aspect of the study of individual compounds as antidepressants is that any one antidepressant may work for only a fraction of an ultimately responsive population. We know this to be true. Yet, we place demands upon new drugs that they be able to produce response rates tantamount to being silver bullets. We don't ask this much of other drugs in most other illnesses. If each of 5 antidepressant drugs work in only 35% (compared to the generally observed 70%) of cases in different sets of people, depending on the heterogeneity of the population and the degree of overlap, you could conceivably cull a 95% rate of remission. An example of this shortsightedness is the rejection by the FDA of gepirone, a drug that did not show as robust a statistical advantage over placebo as was desired by that agency. Yet, this drug does seem to be effective enough to get some people well. From what I understand, new data on gepirone is to be included in a resubmission to the FDA by the manufacturer.
By the way, my silly little idea did not call for the abolition of placebos, just a different way of designing placebo-controlled studies. It doesn't look like it would be a viable solution, but I think it helps bring into focus the difficulty in evaluating antidepressants against placebo when a rate of placebo response of 1/3 has yet to be explained and adjustments made to the design of studies, their statistical evaluation, or perhaps only our unreasonable expectations of a single drug.
- Scott
Posted by ed_uk on July 31, 2005, at 13:39:42
In reply to Re: We need placebo » ed_uk, posted by SLS on July 31, 2005, at 7:44:25
Hi Scott,
>Another aspect of the study of individual compounds as antidepressants is that any one antidepressant may work for only a fraction of an ultimately responsive population. We know this to be true.
Absolutely. Now we need a better method of determining which drug is likely to work for a particular individual!
>Yet, we place demands upon new drugs that they be able to produce response rates tantamount to being silver bullets.
Very true..... and we'll never have a silver bullet which effectively treats all forms of depression.
>If each of 5 antidepressant drugs work in only 35% (compared to the generally observed 70%) of cases in different sets of people, depending on the heterogeneity of the population and the degree of overlap, you could conceivably cull a 95% rate of remission.
Excellent point. We need a variety of drugs with different mechanisms of action so that this can be the case. We don't need another ten SSRIs! Hopefully we'll soon have Valdoxan...... and I do hope that none of the TCAs or MAOIs are discontinued. It would be a truly depressing situation if the SSRIs and SNRIs were all we had to work with. I remember when my doctor said that he'd 'never needed to use an MAOI'. What rubbish. What about his patients who were chronically incapacitated - living in psychiatric residential homes?
In the UK at least, we urgently need to move away from the idea that people who's depression doesn't respond to SSRIs and SNRIs are untreatable. Psychiatrists must be willing to utilise a wide variety of treatment options in order to help as many patients as possible.
>From what I understand, new data on gepirone is to be included in a resubmission to the FDA by the manufacturer.
http://news.biocompare.com/newsstory.asp?id=85989
>placebo response of 1/3
If the studied population consists mainly of people suffering from relatively mild acute depression, spontaneous recovery might account for the high rate of 'placebo' response.
Posted by Kon on July 31, 2005, at 13:55:43
In reply to Re: We need placebo, posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 10:19:03
> I am not convinced that placebo controls are necessary for medical research. Like I said, there is much debate surrounding this issue.
I'm sure pharmaceutical companies would love such a scheme. Wouldn't exclusion of placebo controls result in a high likelihood that ineffective antidepressants/anxiolytics and other drugs be unnecessarily foisted on the public?
Also not to downplay Dr. Quitkin's findings but even his recent study excluded patients over 65 and those with very severe depression. Dr. Quitkin has also had some associations with Pfizer and been a speaker and on advisory board for Eli Lilly.
As a pharmacy student, I'm really having trouble to know what the "truth" is wrt efficacy of a given medication and what is best for the patient since trials funded by pharmaceutical companies rarely produce unfavourable results. I'm becoming more skeptical of not just the efficacy of many psychotropics but also anti-cholesterol and anti-hypertensive drugs. Can research funded by pharmaceutical companies truly be unbiased or are medical journals becoming an extension of the marketiung arm of pharmaceutical companies as some researchers/academics have argued? Dunno...And I'm saying this even though I do believe that certain drugs are extremely useful and life-changfing for patients. For example, I've had great relief with benzos for my anxiety whereas SSRIS and CBT were totally useless.
Posted by ed_uk on July 31, 2005, at 14:36:27
In reply to Re: We need placebo » SLS, posted by Kon on July 31, 2005, at 13:55:43
Hi Kon,
I'm a pharmacy student too.
~Ed
Posted by Kon on July 31, 2005, at 17:53:46
In reply to Re: We need placebo » Kon, posted by ed_uk on July 31, 2005, at 14:36:27
Hi Ed,
I have 2 more years left. Boring so far...It seems the most interesting stuff in pharmacy can befound on the internet. Good luck in your studies.
Posted by SLS on August 1, 2005, at 8:16:32
In reply to Re: We need placebo » SLS, posted by Kon on July 31, 2005, at 13:55:43
> > I am not convinced that placebo controls are necessary for medical research. Like I said, there is much debate surrounding this issue.
> I'm sure pharmaceutical companies would love such a scheme.I imagine they would love anything that would bring a drug to market that would make them money without being subject to law suits.
> Wouldn't exclusion of placebo controls result in a high likelihood that ineffective antidepressants/anxiolytics and other drugs be unnecessarily foisted on the public?
This seems to be the prevailing opinion.
I have nothing against using placebo controls, I just think that a new paradigm for evaluating the efficacy of antidepressants is necessary, even if it is merely a change in the selection criteria for people with depressive disorder. Perhaps all that is needed is a rating scale such that a 25% advantage of active compound versus placebo is considered efficacioius. A good way to judge such a rating scale - or any other new investigational paradigm is to evaluate its accuracy retrospectively using the raw data from previous studies. Another use of placebos is to evaluate the validity of a study. Judging placebo response rates versus a known active compound versus the test compound is a good way to isolate failed studies. This is why we don't see reboxetine in the US. The placebo response rate was high and showed equivalancy to Prozac. Prozac is a putative antidepressant often used as a standard rating compound. It has been established as being better than placebo.
> Also not to downplay Dr. Quitkin's findings but even his recent study excluded patients over 65 and those with very severe depression. Dr. Quitkin has also had some associations with Pfizer and been a speaker and on advisory board for Eli Lilly.
Conflict of interest? It would be difficult to tell whether there is a bias on his part. The bulk of his work has utilized tricyclics and MAOIs.
It would be difficult to find people who are not in some way affiliated with drug companies. The NIH has been reviewing its own ethical standards and the affiliations and fundings with private enterprises. They are in the midst of making changes.
> As a pharmacy student, I'm really having trouble to know what the "truth" is wrt efficacy of a given medication and what is best for the patient since trials funded by pharmaceutical companies rarely produce unfavourable results.Moclobemide was found to be ineffective by the FDA according to manufacturer-funded US studies. At least Roche seems to be truthful.
Rarely, if ever, has an antidepressant been approved by the FDA using these results that hasn't ultimately been found to be effective in subsequent clinical usage. Even maprotiline has utility. So far, the system works pretty well, despite complaints by some that studies using placebos don't separate the test antidepressant compound robustly enough to demonstrate efficacy. For the most part, the scientists know that a ratio of 65-70%/30% in favor of the test compound over placebo is a robust value when it comes to antidepressants.
> I'm becoming more skeptical of not just the efficacy of many psychotropics but also anti-cholesterol and anti-hypertensive drugs.
Which ones in particular?
> Can research funded by pharmaceutical companies truly be unbiased or are medical journals becoming an extension of the marketiung arm of pharmaceutical companies as some researchers/academics have argued?
> Dunno...
Me either. You will have plenty of time in your career to more fully explore these issues. I'm sure your future experience with these drugs will help you answer your questions and identify the "duds" when it comes to drugs.
> And I'm saying this even though I do believe that certain drugs are extremely useful and life-changfing for patients. For example, I've had great relief with benzos for my anxiety whereas SSRIS and CBT were totally useless.
Just remember that individual drugs don't have to be effective in a majority of cases to be an important component of an arsenal against a particular disease or set of diseases.
- Scott
Posted by ed_uk on August 1, 2005, at 13:25:25
In reply to Re: We need placebo, posted by Kon on July 31, 2005, at 17:53:46
Hi Kon,
>I have 2 more years left.
Me too. I hate my degree. We hardly study anything clinical at all - which is what I'm interested in.
>It seems the most interesting stuff in pharmacy can befound on the internet.
I agree!
Kind regards
~Ed
Posted by WeeWilly on August 1, 2005, at 18:01:07
In reply to Re: We need placebo » ed_uk, posted by SLS on July 31, 2005, at 7:44:25
It's way past time for advancement in mental health treatment. Each us of us has our own unique biochemistries and problems with them. None of our problems are due to not enough prozac, neurontin, depakote, etc., in our systems. What I am saying is that we do have to much or not enough of certain elements or they are not being produced in the proper cycle. The bottom line is that pharmaceutical companies see that understanding the biochemical causes of mental disorders is not a lucrative endeavor. They like the status quo, of coming up with an element foreign to our bodies that they can patend. Eventually without pharmaceutical companies help, research will progress the understand of our disorders and proper treatment will become available. Best wishes
Posted by Kon on August 1, 2005, at 21:44:39
In reply to Re: We need placebo » Kon, posted by ed_uk on August 1, 2005, at 13:25:25
>I hate my degree. We hardly study anything clinical at all - which is what I'm interested in.Ed,
I'm in a catch-22. We have some clinicals (some real and some make-believe with patient actors) which in theory I should find more interesting but my SAD prevents me from enjoying them. In fact, they're a nightmare. If not for benzos I probably would have quit...again. I did 2 years of med-school previously but quit due to severe anxiety when the clinical component began. When I have to perform/think in front of people (whether peers or patients) my anxiety goes through the roof and my IQ approaches that of a chipmunk.
Posted by Kon on August 1, 2005, at 21:52:55
In reply to Re: We need placebo » Kon, posted by SLS on August 1, 2005, at 8:16:32
> Which ones in particular?Hi Scott,
Statins, in particular. Again you may find the views expressed by this group of researchers and some non-researchers a bit biased but it did raise some skepticism for myself, especially when I looked at some of the studies and arguments they use. Again....I dunno.
http://www.thincs.org/unpublic.ArchIntMed.htm
http://www.thincs.org/discuss.htm
Posted by Kon on August 2, 2005, at 0:25:39
In reply to Re: We need placebo, posted by SLS on July 30, 2005, at 10:19:03
>When one includes only a population of depressives rated as severe, the placebo response approaches zero while the response rate remains at 65-70%.
Just to add to the dunno category...this argument has been questioned in the recent July 16, 2005 BMJ:
http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-chat/1445096/posts
The authors write:
"A key claim in the NICE guideline is that the superiority of antidepressants over placebo correlates positively with the severity of depression being treated. This belief is an old one. In 1958 Kuhn suggested that endogenous depression was more responsive to antidepressants than neurotic or reactive depression, which was generally regarded as less severe.7 Regression to the mean may account for this impression since it entails that people with more severe depression at baseline will show greatest overall levels of improvement. But it does not explain drug-placebo differences, because greater improvement among patients with more severe depression occurs regardless of whether they are treated with a drug or placebo.
An early review of controlled trials found that evidence about whether endogenous symptoms predicted response was inconsistent.8 Recent evidence comes from post-hoc analysis in trials with otherwise negative resultsw6 w7 and from meta-analyses. The meta-analysis by Angst et al is often cited in support of the severity hypothesis, but severity effects were weak and mostly non-significant.9 Effects in another meta-analysis were more impressive, but data were provided only for investigational antidepressants and not established ones, where the evidence seemed to be weaker.10 In contrast, another recent meta-analysis found no relation between severity and antidepressant effect,11 and a meta-analysis of older studies showed that differences between antidepressants and placebo were smaller and non-significant in inpatient trials compared with outpatient trials.12 The NICE meta-analysis failed to find a consistent gradient of effect from "moderate" (Hamilton score 14-18) through "severe" (19-22) to "very severe" depression ( 23).1 In fact, the middle group, which would generally be referred to as moderately depressed, tended to show larger effects than either of the other two, but numbers of studies were small.
Thus there seems to be little support for the suggestion that recent failure to find marked differences between antidepressants and placebo is due to recruitment of patients with mild depression that is less responsive to antidepressants.1 Indeed, in the meta-analysis by Kirsch et al, all but one of the trials were conducted in patients with severe to very severe depression according to NICE criteria.6 The possibility that patients in the mid-range of severity show a greater antidepressant response, as suggested by the NICE data and by Joyce and Paykel,8 would not be expected from a simple biological effect. It may indicate that this group is more susceptible to some methodological artefact such as infringement of the double blind (see below)."
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